DeSart model: Trump in Oregon trails by a moderate margin
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton will collect 54.0% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will end up with 46.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, since they may include large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote in Oregon, which is 1.2 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.