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DeSart model: Trump in Illinois trails by a moderate margin


The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton will garner 53.6% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will win 46.4%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, since they often incorporate substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 57.3% in Illinois.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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