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DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton will garner 91.9% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 8.1%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 90.3% of the two-party vote, which is 1.6 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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