DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will collect 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will win 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 60.7% of the two-party vote in Vermont, which is 5.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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