DeSart model in Utah: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 21.8% for Clinton and 78.2% for Trump in Utah.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can contain substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 15.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 62.9% in Utah.