DeSart model in Texas: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 39.2% for Clinton and 60.9% for Trump in Texas.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in Texas, which is 5.4 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.