The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will obtain 36.7% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, whereas Trump will win 63.3%.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be treated with caution, since they can contain substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
Trump currently runs at 57.8% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Tennessee. This value is 5.6 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 7.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 56.1% in Tennessee. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 16.0 percentage points higher.