DeSart model in South Dakota: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 37.9% for Clinton and 62.1% for Trump in South Dakota.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, since they can include large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in South Dakota has Trump at 59.5% of the two-party vote. Relative to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 2.6 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in South Dakota, which is 2.8 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 14.8 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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