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DeSart model in Montana: Trump with clear lead


The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 40.2% for Clinton and 59.8% for Trump in Montana.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump currently achieves 57.2% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Montana. This value is 2.6 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 2.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 57.1% in Montana. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 12.5 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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