The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will obtain 38.4% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, whereas Trump will win 61.6%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Louisiana has Trump at 57.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 4.2 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Louisiana, which is 3.9 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 14.3 percentage points higher.