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DeSart model in Louisiana: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will obtain 38.4% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, whereas Trump will win 61.6%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Louisiana has Trump at 57.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 4.2 percentage points lower than his corresponding numbers in the DeSart model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Louisiana, which is 3.9 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 14.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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