DeSart model in Indiana: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.1% for Clinton and 57.9% for Trump in Indiana.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they often incorporate substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Indiana has Trump at 57.2% of the two-party vote. Relative to his numbers in the DeSart model Trump's econometric model average is 0.7 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 55.5% of the two-party vote in Indiana, which is 2.4 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 10.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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