The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 30.4% for Clinton and 69.6% for Trump in Idaho.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 64.6% in Idaho.