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DeSart model in Idaho: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 30.4% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, whereas Trump will win 69.6%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, one should use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results compared to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Idaho sees Trump at 68.7% of the two-party vote. This value is 0.9 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 64.6% of the two-party vote in Idaho, which is 5.0 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 22.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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