DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will garner 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will win 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often contain large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 67.8% in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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