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DeSart model in Delaware: Clinton with clear lead

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The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model's forecast is that Clinton will collect 57.3% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will win 42.7%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of Delaware econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 55.4%. In comparison to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.9 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.2% in Delaware. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 4.6 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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