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DeSart model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will achieve 57.3% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will win 42.7%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.2% in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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