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DeSart model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 39.9% for Clinton and 60.1% for Trump in Alaska.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 60.8% in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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