DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Rhode Island

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 62.1% for Clinton and 37.9% for Trump in Rhode Island.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may incorporate substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Rhode Island has Clinton at 61.9% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.2 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 63.0% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island, which is 0.9 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 9.4 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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