DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Massachusetts

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will collect 62.6% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, whereas Trump will win 37.4%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can incorporate large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Massachusetts has Clinton at 62.1% of the two-party vote. Compared to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.5 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 63.6% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts, which is 1.0 percentage points above the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 9.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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