DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will collect 91.9% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 8.1%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 89.2%. Relative to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.8 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 90.3% of the two-party vote, which is 1.6 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 39.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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