DeSart model: Clinton with clear lead in Maine

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.7% for Clinton and 44.3% for Trump in Maine.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can include substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 55.5% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Maine. This value is 0.2 percentage points lower than her respective numbers in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in Maine, which is 1.2 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 3.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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