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DeSart model: Clinton with clear lead in Connecticut


The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton will receive 56.6% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will win 43.4%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they can include large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton currently runs at 55.0% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in Connecticut. In comparison to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.6 percentage points worse.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.6% in Connecticut. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton indicates that the actual results are 3.9 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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