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DeSart model: Clinton with clear lead in Connecticut


The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 56.6% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, while Trump will win 43.4%.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 54.6% in Connecticut.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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