DeSart model: Clinton with clear lead in California

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 59.9% for Clinton and 40.1% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may include large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 59.6% in California.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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