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DeSart model: Clinton in Oklahoma trails by a very clear margin

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The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 30.0% of the two-party vote share in Oklahoma, while Trump will end up with 70.0%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Oklahoma has Trump at 63.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 6.6 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma, which is 7.3 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 22.7 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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