The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will achieve 43.4% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, whereas Trump will win 56.6%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Georgia, which is 4.6 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.