DeSart model: Clinton in Georgia trails by a clear margin

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will achieve 43.4% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, whereas Trump will win 56.6%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Georgia, which is 4.6 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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