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DeSart model: Clinton in Georgia trails by a clear margin

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The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 43.4% for Clinton and 56.6% for Trump in Georgia.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models often contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Looking at an average of Georgia econometric models, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 54.5%. This value is 2.1 percentage points lower than his respective numbers in the DeSart model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 52.0% of the two-party vote in Georgia, which is 4.6 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 9.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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