The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.5% for Clinton and 46.5% for Trump in Delaware.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often contain large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of Delaware econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 55.4%. In comparison to her numbers in the Jerome model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.9 percentage points higher.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.2% in Delaware. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 0.8 percentage points higher.