Delaware: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead
The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.5% for Clinton and 46.5% for Trump in Delaware.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may include substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 55.2% in Delaware.