California: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 59.9% for Clinton and 40.1% for Trump in California.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton can currently count on 56.6% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models in California. Compared to her numbers in the DeSart model Clinton's econometric model average is 3.3 percentage points lower.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 59.3% of the two-party vote in California, which is 0.6 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 7.2 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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