The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will garner 48.1% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, whereas Trump will win 51.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 57.0% in Arkansas.