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Arkansas: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will garner 48.1% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, whereas Trump will win 51.9%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 57.0% in Arkansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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