Arkansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 34.8% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, whereas Trump will win 65.2%.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Arkansas, which is 8.2 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.