Arkansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 34.8% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, whereas Trump will win 65.2%.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Arkansas, which is 8.2 percentage points below the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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