Arizona: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.8% for Clinton and 57.2% for Trump in Arizona.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Arizona, which is 3.1 percentage points below the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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