Jerome model: Clinton with comfortable lead in Wisconsin

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 55.1% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, whereas Trump will win 44.9%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

Clinton is currently at 53.1% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models in Wisconsin. This value is 2.0 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 53.2% in Wisconsin. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 2.3 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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