The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 35.4% for Clinton and 64.6% for Trump in Utah.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models may incorporate large biases, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models in Utah has Trump at 71.4% of the two-party vote. This value is 6.8 percentage points higher than his corresponding numbers in the Jerome model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote, which at the moment predicts a value of 62.9% in Utah. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump shows that the actual results are 17.4 percentage points higher.