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Jerome model in Tennessee: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 47.8% for Clinton and 52.2% for Trump in Tennessee.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models in Tennessee sees Trump at 57.8% of the two-party vote. Compared to his numbers in the Jerome model Trump's econometric model average is 5.6 percentage points higher.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 56.1% of the two-party vote in Tennessee, which is 3.9 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Trump indicates that the actual results are 5.0 percentage points higher.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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