Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Connecticut
The Rothschild model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each gain 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they often contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.