Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Colorado

The Rothschild model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a tie, with each candidate winning 50% of the two-party vote.

In Colorado, the election outcome is often decided by a narrow margin. Therefore, the state is commonly referred to as a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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