Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in California
The Rothschild model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.