Rothschild model: Clinton tied with Trump in Arkansas
The Rothschild model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model predicts that Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they can include large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.