The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 61.7% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, whereas Trump will end up with 38.3%. In comparison, on August 7, Clinton was predicted to win only 38.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
Looking at an average of Rhode Island econometric models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 61.9%. This value is 0.2 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the Jerome model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 63.0% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island, which is 1.3 percentage points above the results of the Jerome model. In comparison, a look at the PollyVote national prediction for Clinton shows that the actual results are 9.0 percentage points higher.