FOX NewsFOX News poll in Colorado: Behind by 10 points
FOX NewsFOX News released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Colorado were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Historically, Colorado has been a swing state, in which no single party has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is the reason why predictions here are of particular importance.
FOX NewsFOX News poll results
The poll was conducted from July 9 to July 12 with 600 registered voters. The margin of error is +/-4.0 percentage points, which means that the levels of voter support for Trump and Clinton do not differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they can contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, forecasting research recommends to consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 43.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 46.9% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Colorado.