Jerome model in Montana: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will achieve 54.7% of the two-party vote share in Montana, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to win only 45.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, one should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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