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DeSart model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead


The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 64.1% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Nebraska. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to achieve 64.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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