Jerome model: In Nebraska trails by a very clear margin
The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.4% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Nebraska. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 41.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models can contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.