Jerome model in Minnesota: Clinton with very clear lead
The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 41.5% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to achieve 58.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.