DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in North Dakota
The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will receive 63.1% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to collect only 37.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain substantial biases. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.