DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in North Dakota

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model expects that Clinton will receive 63.1% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to collect only 37.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain substantial biases. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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