DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Montana
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 59.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Montana. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to collect only 40.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they may incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.