DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Montana

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 59.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Montana. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to collect only 40.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they may incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.