Jerome model: Trump with very clear lead in Mississippi
The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model expects that Clinton will receive 53.8% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to collect only 46.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, because they may contain substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.