The Fiscal model model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model's forecast is that Clinton will achieve 48.2% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 51.8%. In comparison, on August 3, Clinton was predicted to win 51.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.6 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.6 percentage points.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
Clinton has 4.3 percentage points less and Trump has 4.3 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.